Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 2.239162 2.582852 2.968121 3.433197 3.980983 4.607586 5.381362
2025-03-09 1.729887 2.183258 2.745075 3.497796 4.487936 5.757012 7.524553
2025-03-16 1.427628 1.910455 2.549500 3.467558 4.769602 6.575665 9.315442
2025-03-23 1.226886 1.720093 2.408211 3.454341 5.032763 7.371336 11.185487
2025-03-30 1.063870 1.550486 2.260026 3.391648 5.191923 8.015831 12.924205
2025-04-06 0.964322 1.455667 2.201484 3.444551 5.521871 8.959771 15.308426
2025-04-13 0.855291 1.330307 2.076562 3.368569 5.622189 9.531835 17.151384
2025-04-20 0.807939 1.294965 2.087055 3.512417 6.110172 10.841810 20.597886
2025-04-27 0.740331 1.217639 2.017489 3.505987 6.325209 11.686346 23.311779
2025-05-04 0.702084 1.184806 2.018266 3.622651 6.782244 13.061319 27.405302
2025-05-11 0.653211 1.127697 1.968971 3.638095 7.042695 14.084799 30.959083
2025-05-18 0.611087 1.077919 1.926730 3.660116 7.317182 15.180232 34.922765
2025-05-25 0.556785 1.006144 1.846695 3.620296 7.509222 16.251937 39.428601
2025-06-01 0.518958 0.962377 1.817508 3.686961 7.962169 18.056937 46.488218
2025-06-08 0.475706 0.902440 1.747818 3.654984 8.183600 19.361014 52.630680
2025-06-15 0.439552 0.852130 1.690777 3.640965 8.443907 20.823666 59.744632
2025-06-22 0.403018 0.796761 1.616016 3.574489 8.562227 21.944624 66.227711
2025-06-29 0.380639 0.768272 1.595027 3.630583 9.004695 24.064135 76.769611
2025-07-06 0.350113 0.719013 1.522329 3.550018 9.069596 25.122744 84.097382
2025-07-13 0.339182 0.711202 1.541824 3.702553 9.807547 28.393083 100.908067
2025-07-20 0.318478 0.679331 1.501843 3.695734 10.090706 30.323711 113.427459
2025-07-27 0.307612 0.668646 1.510556 3.819472 10.788189 33.813672 134.081274
2025-08-03 0.291322 0.643628 1.481569 3.835854 11.161489 36.310675 151.692720